Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 366.898129 416.017994 470.507280 535.651523 611.696390 697.995112 803.817674
2025-10-26 285.409946 347.719445 422.994880 521.469130 648.124262 807.222224 1024.858396
2025-11-02 241.009946 307.773316 393.119639 511.799711 675.075280 895.560828 1222.352328
2025-11-09 218.398557 289.933134 385.780176 526.131109 730.752622 1025.202068 1494.241991
2025-11-16 196.361001 269.036687 370.236397 524.929612 761.777287 1121.709185 1732.436503
2025-11-23 177.273602 249.508253 353.471902 518.428074 782.101833 1202.794597 1958.792096
2025-11-30 163.980288 236.591748 344.345840 521.394072 816.186922 1309.060129 2245.874477
2025-12-07 149.773758 220.698436 328.738713 511.690189 827.354763 1377.394135 2476.846783
2025-12-14 138.811725 208.629883 317.638036 507.594175 846.740805 1461.896151 2754.053084
2025-12-21 125.901083 192.299737 298.080849 486.821873 833.520717 1483.957044 2909.240245
2025-12-28 121.467431 189.155534 299.646756 502.539418 888.467375 1643.438987 3388.149082
2026-01-04 118.364787 187.860260 304.055242 523.605281 956.106739 1838.930784 3994.233027
2026-01-11 112.117447 180.881778 298.264151 525.651765 987.616471 1966.939438 4479.438696
2026-01-18 103.975793 170.029174 284.738536 511.613667 984.641008 2020.153833 4792.711527
2026-01-25 97.321931 161.263251 274.190751 502.164618 989.877532 2092.469988 5175.371998
2026-02-01 94.493457 159.060891 275.415629 516.177502 1047.603462 2297.410014 5985.496150
2026-02-08 89.920647 153.340767 269.549418 515.002758 1071.191475 2423.788394 6604.776166
2026-02-15 85.103953 146.823703 261.623260 508.645761 1081.918076 2519.598091 7159.593738
2026-02-22 81.759634 142.815216 258.215250 511.545858 1114.880179 2679.726004 7977.694537
2026-03-01 77.302018 136.395076 249.552575 502.057333 1116.384541 2754.893662 8530.117835
2026-03-08 73.764285 131.516050 243.612304 498.052006 1131.088816 2870.135851 9269.593116
2026-03-15 68.830978 123.627683 231.013336 477.737602 1101.481496 2851.877509 9498.454865
2026-03-22 67.726426 123.200631 233.733975 493.108984 1167.459500 3132.323133 11023.629207